1) Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
This pick is already Twitter official. There’s not much that needs to be said here.
2) Jets: Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
This is the only other pick in the entire draft that already has the card filled out and sitting on Roger Goodell’s desk with 24/7 security to make sure the card doesn’t get lost. Zach Wilson is my personal favorite QB prospect since I started scouting. Only a generational talent like Lawrence could have possibly kept him from being the number 1 pick. He would be my number 1 overall in every single draft since 2012.
3) 49ers: Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
This is where the draft truly starts in my eyes. Smokescreens are all over the place here. Kyle Shanahan reportedly wanted to trade up for Mac Jones. There is some logic behind that, due to the success he had with Matt Ryan among other things, but this is the same guy who was the OC when the Redskins drafted RG3 #2 overall. He was also the OC when the Browns drafted Johnny Football Manziel to be their QB. To say that a QB with mobility doesn’t fit his scheme preference just doesn’t make sense to me.
4) Falcons: Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
Kyle Pitts is the only other player in this entire draft that is worthy of the generational label that gets thrown around far too often. He does EVERYTHING exceptionally well on the field and is an athletic freak of nature. He’s the best TE I have ever scouted and it’s not very close. Hayden Hurst has been a bit of a disappointment so far, and at 27 years of age, has probably already seen his best football. Matt Ryan wants to play 15-20 years in the league and still has a fair amount of gas left in the tank. It may be a while before they’re in a position like this to take a Justin Fields caliber player, but I believe Matt Ryan will be around for at least another 4 years. I think they’ll build around him and go for another run.
5) Bengals: Penei Sewell, LT, Oregon
The thought of pairing Joe Burrow back up with one of the best WR prospects that I have seen in a very long time, one who already has an amazing track record, is nothing short of intoxicating. The jerseys would sell themselves. Unfortunately for our Fantasy Football dreams, the smart move is to take the 20-year-old LT that is absolutely oozing with potential and promise. Those guys don’t come around very often, and the position could not be more important to a young QBs career. Five months ago Joe Burrow had his knee obliterated on national television while standing in the pocket. That can’t happen. Penei Sewell will make sure that lightning won’t strike a second time.
6) Dolphins: Devonta Smith, WR, Alabama
The Dolphins have shown their commitment to Tua, not only with the 5th overall pick last year but also by trading down in a class filled with REALLY good QB prospects. The ‘Phins have a good OL, but the offense just doesn’t have any weapons. They’re set up well to change that in this class and give their franchise QB someone to make plays. While I have Ja’Marr slightly ahead of Devonta, Devonta fits the team’s needs better and has that continuity established with Tua. DeVante Parker has the X locked down which will allow Devonta’s thin frame to avoid immediate physicality from the Y and the Z slots and put his athletic/technically brilliant talent to work.
7) Lions: Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU
The Lions certainly didn’t expect Justin Fields and/or Mac Jones to be available here when they made the Stafford/Goff trade, and in real life, with trades, they probably won’t be. That said, even in this scenario, all signs seem to point to the Lions wanting to give Goff a legitimate chance to win football games. Without Kenny Golladay, that won’t be easy, but with Swift, Hockenson, and now Ja’Marr Chase set to replace him. The future is certainly looking bright! Goff has seen a few talented WRs in his career, sure, but they all pale in comparison to Ja’Marr Chase. Chase isn’t the biggest WR, but he is still a physically dominant X WR who will absolutely beat up on a CB during every single route.
8)Panthers: Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
If the Panthers don’t trade up to ensure that they can make this pick a reality, they will be absolutely pissing themselves to see him still sitting there at 8 overall. Justin Fields is a very talented prospect who has an excellent arm to go along with his electric mobility. He made some very significant strides as a pocket QB last year, which showed me enough to make him my QB3 in the class, and some very smart people have him even higher than that.
9) Broncos: Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
The Broncos could go a number of different ways with this pick, including CB, LB, or OT. I know that they’re not quite ready to give up on Drew Lock, certainly not desperate for a QB, but Mac Jones is the QB prospect that John Elway has been trying so aggressively to get since Peyton Manning retired. I know that George Paton the GM now, but I still think that if the Broncos get in range of Mac Jones, they’re going to take their shot and secure their new franchise QB. He fits Pat Shurmur’s pro-style/pocket QB system like a glove.
10) Cowboys: Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
With the flashy, headline writing potential of getting Kyle Pitts long gone, the Cowboys have a major need at CB opposite Trevon Diggs. There are obvious connections to Patrick Surtain II. Reuniting him into a secondary with his old college buddy Trevon Diggs certainly makes sense, but the Cowboys coaching staff has personal connections to Jaycee Horn that may override the connection between former teammates. Mike McCarthy coached Jaycee’s father Joe for all 4 of Joe’s 5 Pro Bowl years with the Saints. Dan Quinn also has a strong relationship with Jaycee’s college HC, per Jane Slater. This is not to say that Jaycee isn’t deserving of the 10th overall selection at all. He could very well turn out to be a steal, even at pick 10. The talent is definitely there.
11) Giants: Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern
The Giants have a lot of directions that they can go in here. Edge rusher, Linebacker, Offensive guard, and Offensive Tackle are all significant needs. To me, it came down to Rashawn Slater and Jaylen Waddle. Waddle would be extremely sexy opposite Kenny Golladay, but the smart play would be to draft Rashawn Slater. He can come in and immediately provide a significant boost to an OL in desperate need of help across the board. Regardless of whether or not that’s at OT or OG.
12) Eagles: Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
The Eagles are another team that can go in multiple directions with many many different needs. Most prominently at Linebacker, Wide Receiver, Cornerback, Edge Rusher, and Quarterback. Jaylen Waddle is everything that fans hoped Jalen Reagor would be. Kwity Paye is exactly what Howie Roseman has been looking for on the edge to take the mantle away from Brandon Graham. At the end of the day though, Patrick Surtain II is the best player available, even if you don’t consider the obvious team need. Getting Surtain to line up opposite Darius Slay will give QBs nightmares week in and week out.
13) Chargers: Alijah Vera-Tucker, OL, USC
The Chargers, like everyone, saw what happened to Joe Burrow last season and need to make 1000% sure that that does not happen to their rocket launching phenom. They desperately need help upfront and getting a versatile piece like AVJ will benefit them significantly. Let him compete with Trey Pipkins for the LT position, and give the loser the job at G. He may not be the clear-cut BPA here, but the positional importance of shoring up the OL for Justin Herbert is far more than worthy of the slight “reach” here.
14) Vikings: Christian Darrisaw, Virginia Tech
The Vikings ranked 28th defensively last year on a sacks per game basis. That HAS to be driving Mike Zimmer absolutely bonkers. Kwity Paye would likely be the BPA for them here. However, the Vikings lost their starting Left Tackle, Riley Rieff, to the Bengals this off-season and have yet to bring in any form of replacement. Getting Danielle Hunter back into the fold should allow the Vikings to wait until round 2 to address the need off the edge. Christian Darrisaw is an athletic, zone-blocking LT who fits into the Vikings’ running scheme with absolute perfection.
15) Patriots: Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
The Pat’s missed out on the QB sweepstakes, but get one of the best on-field talents in the class. Parsons will be able to step in and make an impact on Bill Belichick’s defense.
16) Cardinals: Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
Farley may be the best CB prospect in this class, he comes with a fair bit of risk. He has a lengthy injury history and is new to the position, but if he gets back to 100% health like the doctors say he should be able to do, he’ll step right into Patrick Peterson’s shoes.
17) Raiders: Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU
The Raiders have struggled with blown coverages on the back end. Trevon is an excellent Safety prospect who excels in coverage.
18) Dolphins: RB Najee Harris, RB, Alabama
After giving Tua a familiar face at WR to make plays on the outside, the Dolphins reunite him with one more familiar face. One who also just so happens to be the best RB in the class. Najee is an excellent teammate and a true every-down back. He has power, elusiveness, contact balance, catching ability, blocking, and deceptive speed he’ll never leave the field.
19) Washington Football Team: Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
Ron Rivera has expressed concern about his Linebacker play in the past. He has built an imposing front seven, but still needs to find a quality Linebacker to clean everything up on the back end. Zaven Collins can do that and has the potential to do a whole lot more as well.
20) Bears: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
I’m not sure how Jaylen fell this far. The guy is an absolute lightning bolt on the field. His physical gifts are astonishing, but he’s far from a one-trick pony. I’m not sure who’s throwing the ball, but Jaylen Waddle across from Allen Robinson sure would make things easy on whoever it is that takes the snap.
21) Colts: Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
The Colts are one Left Tackle and a Carson Wentz rebound away from being a very serious contender. With Teven Jenkins in tow, they have that chance.
22) Titans: Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU
The Titans have one of, if not the best young WR’s in the league in AJ Brown. After the departure of Corey Davis in Free Agency, he’ll need a companion capable of keeping defenses honest and at least taking some of the heat off of him. Terrace Marshall is an athletic wonder who can do everything you would want him to do on the field. Just under 6’3″, the guy ran a 4.38 40 at his Pro Day(shows up on tape as well) and proved just how great he can be this year, without Justin Jefferson or Ja’Marr Chase, despite the drop in QB play. He runs exceptional routes, knows how to beat press, and can pluck the ball out of the air with the best of them.
23) Jets: Alex Leatherwood, RT, Alabama
The Jets could certainly take BPA and get the first pass rusher off the board here, or they could add a real RB to their roster and take Javonte or Etienne. More importantly, though, they need to make sure that their new Face of the Franchise stays as pretty as it is right now. Look for the Jets to pick up one of these G/T prospects like Leatherwood who will be given every opportunity to fail at RT before going inside to OG. Joe Douglas loves his Offensive Lines, so watching football last year couldn’t have been too fun for him.
24) Steelers: Landon Dickerson, C, Alabama
The Steelers are certainly in the market for an RB, but with Najee and most of the top OT prospects off the board, they turn to Landon Dickerson. After the retirement of Maurkice Pouncey, the Steelers will need to find a body up front to hike the ball.
25) Jaguars: Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
In a perfect world, the Jaguars would be able to help out Trevor Lawrence with this pick, but the value just isn’t there for those positions anymore. Opposing offenses regularly ran all over the Jags defense. Christian Barmore is the only plug n play DT in this class, so they could certainly do much worse than to get him here at 25.
26) Browns: Kwity Paye, Edge, Michigan
The Browns signed Jadeveon Clowney to a one-year deal last month, but he is not a long-term fix. To get the first edge rusher in the class at 26 is a BPA pick that they just can’t pass on. Paye is a great run defender who can move around the DL, similar to Clowney. Clowney’s 1-year deal will give Paye time to groom if needed.
27) Ravens: Carlos Basham Jr., Edge, Wake Forrest
I really like Carlos “Boogie” Basham Jr. The Ravens can always use pass-rushing help, especially after an underwhelming performance on that front last year. Boogie offers strength at the point of attack. He’s an excellent power rusher who can convert speed to power exceptionally well and offers a safe floor as an edge rusher.
28) Saints: Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern
The Saints are desperate for CB help opposite Marshon Lattimore. Luckily for them, one of the best in the class fell to the back end of round one. Greg has prototypical height, weight, speed to be a highly coveted CB in the NFL.
29) Packers: Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss.
The Packers have needed a legitimate WR to take pressure off of Devante Adams for years. The value is finally there for them to take BPA and still fill that position of need. Elijah is smaller at 5’9″, but he plays the position like he’s 6’2″. The nuance in his route running is pure excellence. He routinely uses head fakes and hip twists to fake out the defender and stays open at all times. Two inches taller and we would be talking about him in the Ja’Marr Chase/Devonta Smith tier.
30) Bills: Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
The Bills don’t necessarily need an RB. Singletary and Moss can hold down the position fine as a committee, but Travis Etienne is electric. He fits the scheme wonderfully and would be a luxury pick that would instantly put the Bills’ offense further into that elite tier.
31) Ravens: Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas
Ravens could certainly take a WR here, but now with Elijah Moore gone, it’s time to attack another position and fill a more urgent need. Trading away Orlando Brown immediately puts them in the market for a new OT. Samuel Cosmi may not be Orlando Brown, but he certainly has the potential to be a very good OT.
32) Buccaneers: Gregory Rousseau, Edge, Miami
The Buccaneers stay put at 32 and take another victory lap, on top of their Super Bowl parade. Gregory Rousseau is certainly a BPA pick that can step in and immediately relieve an old, injured JPP of valuable reps. Gregory is new to the position and understandably raw at it, but he drips with elite potential. Coming in and grooming sparingly behind JPP in 2021 would be perfect for Gregory to step in in 2022 to be a very good starting edge rusher for the Bucc’s