Over the next few weeks the Team here at USN will release player profiles to help you get ready for your rookie draft. As the QB scout at USN, it’s only natural that I should profile them for dynasty as well. Some things we’ll look at are: Competition, projected playing time, skillset, weapons, scheme fit and then we’ll try to project 2021 stats as well as future outlook.
Competition and Playing Time
Unlike Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson, Trey Lance is not likely to start week 1 of the NFL season. Current starter Jimmy Garappolo is only a year removed from leading the 49ers to the Super Bowl, and has a 22-8 record as a starter in San Francisco. Lance could very well sit his entire rookie season, however, Garappolo does have an extensive injury history and as such odds are that Lance will see the field at some point during the season. I never want to project injury but I will set the over/under on games started by Trey Lance in 2021 at four.
The positive for Lance is that he will be working with noted QB Guru Kyle Shanahan and his staff. Shanahan has crafted systems for statue-esqu pocket passers like Matt Schuab or Garoppolo and also for hyper mobile playmakers like Robert Griffin III. Lance is much closer to Griffin in terms of mobility and I believe he and the 49ers running backs will lead one of the most potent rushing attacks in all of football once Lance takes the helm. As a passer, Shanahan’s scheme is notoriously complex, which is why Lance should redshirt the year if possible.
Skill Set and Scouting Report
Lance is a physical specimen akin to a smaller Josh Allen or Cam Newton. While not the fastest QB in the class, he is certainly the most accomplished runner. His physical rushing style should lead to a high number of rushing touchdowns for Lance. As a passer, he has an absolute cannon of an arm and has the accuracy to fit the ball into extremely tight windows. What he lacks is experience and consistency. Lance has a total of 17 collegiate starts, including only one last season, against FCS competition. Full scouting report below:
In addition to Coach Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers also give Lance one of the NFL’s best offensive line groups led by Trent Williams and one of the best young group of pass catchers the league has to offer.
- Brandon Ayuik: 2020 Rookie WR that played well above expectations. Appears ready to be the WR1
- Deebo Samuel: Dynamic Y receiver that when healthy, wins at all three levels
- George Kittle: one of the most productive tight ends ever…squarely in his prime
All of that in addition to a running game that seems to flourish no matter who is in the backfield.
Lance is in good hands.
2021 Projections and Future Outlook
Lance is currently going as the QB2 in most rookie drafts. If you can afford to let your 1.02 sit the entire season, Lance is fantastic at that spot. With the most rushing production in this class, and maybe since Lamar Jackson, Lance has an extremely high floor. Add in his cast of weapons, and his scheme fit and it’s easy to see why many think Lance could end up as the top player in this draft class overall.
- 2021 Stat Line: 880 Pass Yards, 6 Pass Touchdowns, 4 Interceptions, 320 Rush Yards, 5 Rush Touchdowns, 2 Fumbles
- Superflex Rookie Ranking: 3
- Non Superflex Rookie Ranking: 11